Brad Wardell's Blog


Bush in trouble with the right?

Published on Wednesday, January 28, 2004 By Brad Wardell In Politics

Right Wing News has some outstanding articles about the situation that Bush is in. One that I particularly agree with is that Bush is losing conservatives through his pandering. While I support Bush on his foreign policy, for the most part, I am strongly against some of the domestic choices he's made:

The Tax Cut. I favor tax cuts. We are over-taxed. But a payroll tax would have been more effective I think for stimulating the economy.

Deficits. I care about deficits. I care about them a lot. We had a freaking surplus 4 years ago and now we're running record deficits? You know why? It's not the tax cuts primarily, it's the incredible domestic spending increases. And this is under a Republican congress. We've seen massive increases across the board in spending.

Immigration. Sure Bush hopes to win New Mexico this Fall. But he's liable to lose some red states by making us less safe. He should be securing that border not granting quasi-amnesty for illegal aliens.

Prescription Drug Benefits. Explain again why one group of Americans effectively ends up having to pay for another group of American's pills? Why not insist more showings of the ant and the grasshopper movies to teach the concept of saving for winter instead?

Anyway, more of this on Right Wing News.

The Rating System is going to be changing..

Published on Tuesday, January 27, 2004 By Brad Wardell In WinCustomize Talk

Okay, we've made posts and news items trying to get people to rate things in a reasonable manner but all have failed.

As someone else correctly wrote, the rating system here is a JOKE.

There are basically two problems: People who rate everything high and griefers who go around sabotaging other people's ratings.

The new system WILL work as follows. Yes, most of you will be ticked off for different reasons. Tough. The system is broken, we're going to fix it. Play time is over. It will work this way:

There will be a WEIGHT used to calculate the ratings. A rating by a citizen will counts a 1Xtheir rating. An apprentice 2X their rating, Master Apprentice 3X their rating and so on.

So when an admin or moderator rates a skin, it matters.  Now, the default rating from moderation will still only count as a weight of 1. But as people deliberately put in the effort to rate something, it will matter. 

Yes, it's unfair. It's unequal, whatever.  But the current system has become meaningless.

I have seen excellent ObjectDock icons get ratings of 4 because some griefer comes along and gives a bunch of them 1 totally counter balancing an admin rating of 7 (where the admin in question makes icons for a living).

I'm not sure when we'll get to this. It's pretty high on the priority list. This will probably result in a more skins going down in rating than skins going up in rating. A rating of 5 is an average looking skin. NOT 8. Some people seem to rate things as if anything under an 8 is bad. No, 5 is AVERAGE. Most skins should be rated at around a 5. Not 8.

Prepping DesktopX 2.1 and other stuff

Published on Tuesday, January 27, 2004 By Brad Wardell In Work Reports
Last night I came home early so that I could focus on the Object Desktop 2004 documentation. It's finally finsihed or at least good enough to go up on Stardock Central. 120 or so pages of "stuff". And it only covers 5 major components of Object Desktop. But still, it's far better than what we previously had -- NOTHING.

I need to take Martin's excellently done SkinStudio documentation and make it available as a stand alone PDF document. Very pleased with how that turned out even if the examplle skin he made was horrendous!

This morning the roads were nasty and since I actually get more done at home than at work and WinCustomize Magazine is going out on the work machine, I figured I'd stay home and try to get things done here.

Spent about 2 hours talking to Jeff today about ObjectBar 2. It's coming along nicely but there's still a lot more to go, especially on the skinning issue. ObjectBar 2 is what will be replacing ControlCenter other than the virtual desktops and even that is open for discussion depending on royalty discussions with Andy. I would rather keep the existing virtual desktops Andy's made but I need to get the royalty reduced on that component to do it. CC has just not kept up with the times and ObjectBar 2 will deliver on what we've been wanting to do.

We also discussed Keyboard LaunchPad. It is one of the best programs we make but its sales have been terrible. We've learned some lessons from it but they're not ones I like having learned: Flash sells a lot better than meat. How bad has KLP sold? 6 copies this month. Just terrible. I don't understand because this is the kind of program EVERY user should have on their system.

Then we went on to ObjectDock Plus. We have a freeware program called ObjectDock. Very popular. ObjectDock Plus would have a ton of new features in it. We'd sell it for like $10. The problem has to do with the cost of it.

Most people dont' realize that this skinning stuff doesn't sell that great in general. Some of it does. But most of it sells in relatively low quantities. People ask, why does Stardock dominate the market? Because we have no other choice. In order to actually be in this market in a commercial sense you've gotta have dozens of programs. Each one sells relatively small numbers of units but combined you get serious income. And Object Desktop is the whole thing put togethr. No other developer at this stage in the software market could put together an Object Desktop type product for $50. Even we have trouble maintaining that price point.

Then I moved onto the main project of the day - getting things ready for DesktopX 2.1. Fastest way a co-worker can annoy me: Give the impression that some task is beneath them. Because I spent a good portion of my day going through the DesktopX library trying out nearly every object to make sure it works with DesktopX 2.1. We're talking very very slow, long, and tedious work. But someone has to do it.

And boy, did I discover some huge issues:

1) DesktopX 2.1 beta doesn't work correctly with flash objects!!! You can't get mouse clicks to them or something.

2) DesktopX 2.1 changes the Z-order handling of ActiveX controsl which breaks cases where the ActiveX control is supposed to be below another object.

3) DeskotpX 2.1 has a problem where ActiveX controls turn black when they are combined with other objects in a group.

On the good side, the media player object is working great!

So out of the literallly hundreds of objects I downloaded I tried I picked a couple dozen that would be part of the default install. Most of them created by Martin (good job Martin!). We're still close to getting DesktopX 2.1 done but I don't think it'll happen this week. And we need to get DX 2.1 done to release Object Desktop 2004 and we need to get Object Desktop 2004 out to realy get the marketing going along with releasing UniverseMetal 2004 and the Fish Tank theme.

Also talked to Joe on how to handle issues and the interviews with the press. That worked out well. Joe's joining Stardock has really helped things in many ways but one way it changed things in a big way is the philosphy of building TOOLS to create game content rather than messing around with text files (Where we'd always make some mistake). Way to go Joe!

Getting ready to take a break and start up again after Dinner. Also wrote the prediction for the New Hampshire primary for PoliticalMachine.com

Prediction: Kerry wins big in New Hampshire

Published on Tuesday, January 27, 2004 By Brad Wardell In Politics

Based on electoral politics and some analysis here is how the campaign is shaping up. First, Kerry is going to win New Hampshire by a large margin.

New Hampshire primary prediction based on local demographics, polling, and momentum:

  • Kerry: 39%
  • Dean: 25%
  • Edwards: 13%
  • Clark: 6%

Which brings us to our second point: it's all over for Lieberman.  It's also over for Clark. Lieberman will end his campaign after New Hampshire. It's also over for Clark. Edwards will be in a very difficult position. New Hampshire isn't winner take all but like Iowa, the candidate must get 15% of the state-wide vote to be viable.

We don't think Edwards is going to get 15% of the state-wide vote.  This is what makes things hard to predict. You see, New Hampshire voters are much more aware of how their primary system works than the average person (naturally). So many who are watching this may switch from Edwards or Clark to someone else since they're not likely to win any delegates.  This is what we predicted in Iowa which is why we predicted (correctly) that Kerry and Edwards would split the non-viable candidate votes.  Dean has the highest opposition rating of the major candidates on the Democratic side (i.e. people who don't support him tend to really not support him).

There are 27 delegates up for grabs in New Hampshire. 22 of them are based on the vote but you must get at least 15% of the vote.  So only Kerry and Dean will pick up delegates. 5 of the 27 are not up for grabs but are "un-pledged".

Where things get really difficult is in predicting the actual number of delegates (of the 22) each will get. 14 of them come from 14 districts in New Hampshire. We won't even try that since it would be just a guess.

But bottom line is that Kerry will pick up another big win.  That will lead to answering one of the great questions in in politics: Money vs. Momentum.  Kerry's campaign has hardly any money.  Dean, by contrast, has tens of millions of dollars. Many people (incorrectly in our opinion) believe that money is the primary factor for winning.  Now we'll be able to see it put to the test.  After New Hampshire, things start to move quickly. Kerry can't just go from state to state now and campaign like he did in Iowa and New Hampshire.  On the other hand, Dean has used his millions in contributions to set up a sophisticated campaign network in the states. 

Bush lost in New Hampshire in 2000 but because of his overwhelming financial advantage he was able to win in the other states due to brute force organization.  This isn't quite the same case because Bush was also the favored front runner nation-wide too. By contrast, Kerry was practically counted out and now has serious momentum behind him. Can Dean still win thanks to his financial advantage? That will be very exciting to find out.

 

Changing the color of your skins on the fly

Published on Tuesday, January 27, 2004 By Brad Wardell In WinCustomize Talk

A lot of people don't do this very much and it's really a shame because it can make one visual style into a thousand different ones.

I've been running one of his Kol's "Beige Azul" (imported into WindowBlinds). It's a good color by default but sometimes I just want to have a different color.

So to change that go into WBConfig and choose "enable color" and "force coloring" and then pick the color you want. I sometimes play around with the gamma too.

Here's an example:

user posted image

I've thought about asking or writing a utility that would slowly change the hue of a given visual style as the day progresses. So each newly created window would have a slightly different color than the previously opened window. I think that would be pretty cool anyway (though I am a geek so maybe I'm alone in that).

But try it for yourself. Pick your favorite visual style and just play around with the color and brightness to see if you can make it more suited to your tastes/monitor/whatever.

Have fun.

Iraq and Kosovo what's the difference?

Published on Tuesday, January 27, 2004 By Brad Wardell In Politics

I sometimes think that the Internet is destroying the civility of political discourse. Many of my friends and I debate politics on a regular basis. Because we're friends, we know that each of us has views based on a set of honest, well thought-out principles. We aren't debating purely for trying to score points in some sort of imaginary game. We are exchanging ideas and beliefs and making each other think about those ideas and beliefs.

But on the Internet, things are different. Civility is increasingly rare and the debates more and more shrill. I think this has done great harm to proponents of both major political ideologies (liberal/left/Democrat and conservative/right/Republican).  But all in all, I think it has done more harm to the left than the right and the result has been a decreasing amount of influence with the mainstream by the left. 

I haven't yet quite figured out the cause of the damage (done to both). Or why it affects the left more than the right from a cultural point of view. My initial instinct is that extremists on the right look like kooks and tend to be easier to cast off as anomalies where as extremists on the left are increasingly looking representative of that ideology. Part of this, I think, is due to celebrities, who tend to be on the left, being able to get more airtime. Or put another way, the kooks on the left get more air time than the kooks on the right and as a result the left-wing kooks start to look like they're "mainstream Democrats" rather than simply kooks.

Most people aren't left-wing or right-wing. They're not "centrists" either. Instead, they have some views that would be considered to be liberal and some views that can be considered conservative. They hear arguments from both sides on a given issue and make up their own mind. The damage, therefore, comes when those who argue a left-wing point of view sound unreasonable and that non-partisan person ends up with the belief that the "other side" has a more valid point of view.

Let me give you a few examples of things people on the left are doing that I believe alienate the mainstream:

"Bush Lied".  I think most sane people would say that at worst, he was mistaken (about weapons of mass destruction in Iraq). He read the intelligence and came to the same conclusion that the previous (Democratic) administration came to. They came to the same conclusion the UK and France and Germany and other countries came to -- that Iraq possessed stockpiles of weapons of mass destruction.  When left-wing ideologues call Bush a "liar" or they see a general tendency for liberals to equate errors with lying (Al Franken seems unable to distinguish between a mistake and a lie based on his most recent book), it alienates the mainstream of public discourse because such charged words are really inappropriate under these circumstances.

The fixation on weapons of mass destruction as the reason for war.  There has been a tendency in my years of on-line debating that the left tends to have contempt for the intelligence of the average American. As one person here on JoeUser said, "The average American is a moronic inbred, gun toting redneck driving a huge SUV or pickup truck."  Find a thousand debates and rarely will you see a conservative argue that the average person is a moron. But you will see this attitude over an over coming from the person arguing in favor of some liberal position.  What does that have to do with the fixation on weapons of mass destruction? Because the average American never believed (in general) that WMD were the primary reason for going to war in Iraq.  Poll a thousand "joe six-packs" and they'll tell you the same thing: "After 9/11 Saddam had to go." No, they don't necessarily think he planned 9/11 but they knew, instinctively, that the world had changed and dangerous bad men in that part of the world couldn't be tolerated anymore. It's really as "simple" as that. Or put another way, the average American doesn't really care very much whether WMD are ever found. It's a loser of an argument.

But you see, because of that sub-conscious contempt so many on the left have for the average person, they think that they can change reality by simply being louder. That the average American is so gullible that they can rewrite recent history so that the entire thing was primarily about weapons of mass destruction. They don't think that Americans will figure out the intellectual dishonesty in their argument.  But the reality is, most Americans recall Clinton bombing someone quite regularly.  If we weren't sending troops into Haiti we were bombing Sudan or Afghanistan or Iraq or Bosnia or Serbia or Kosovo.  Let's face it, we were bombing people quite regularly during the Clinton administration (none with UN authorization and very few with any sort of "international" coalition at all. And yet there was very little public or international condemnation.

Intellectual Dishonesty. The incident in Kosovo is particularly problematic for the left. For weeks the United States bombed Serbia.  Civilians died. Lots of them. Why? Because Serbia was using its military to re-establish its authority in Kosovo -- A PROVINCE OF SERBIA.  But it gets worse. So why were we bombing specifically? Because there were reports of genocide.  Americans died in this military action btw (not in combat but in various accidents). When Serbia finally caved, turned out there was no genocide taking place. No mass graves (i.e. >1000 people).

Though that didn't stop some from trying to claim that mass graves of say 90 people constituted genocide. And the press, which has been incredibly skeptical about any sort of news on weapons programs and mass graves in Iraq was openly reporting on any rumor of mass graves in Kosovo.    And when they failed to turn up these mass graves, they still gave immense amount of attention to any grave that contained more than one body.  Amazingly, the same kind of reporting has been totally absent in Iraq. It takes a lot more searching to find reports on the mass graves found in Iraq which dwarf that found in Serbia. Here's another one that is briefly mentioned on CNN in Iraq. Consider the difference in treatment though: Stories of finding as few as 15 bodies in a grave in Kosovo make CNN.  Yet you barely hear about the actual verified network of mass graves that contain tens of thousands of actual people. Remember: Clinton attacked and overthrew the sovereign nation of Serbia over rumors of genocide and once we were in discovered that nothing of the sort happened. And yet no clamoring from the left about that.

This operation cost billions of dollars and cost Americans their lives. Where was the outcry from the left? Where were the protests? Where was Michael Moore and Al Franken? Hell, where was John Kerry in 1999? Where were the shrieks of "Clinton lied!"?  You didn't hear them coming from the right did you? No, while I wasn't enthused about the action in Serbia, I believed we were trying to do the right thing. The intelligence in Kosovo was wrong. Clinton made a mistake. But you didn't see right-wingers screaming about Clinton lying on that issue. And it's not like the right never called Clinton on lies during his administration. But on the Kosovo matter, he made a mistake and things went forward. We're still in Kosovo today btw. No cries for bring the troops home.

This action, btw, was not backed by the UN (unlike Iraq which actually had a dozen and a half resolutions involved).  Keep in mind, in Iraq, evidence of mass atrocities have already been found. They even found a prison for children. A PRISON FOR CHILDREN. They found mass graves in which children were still holding on to their dolls (which means they were buried alive. Saddam was a monster.  Saddam was also sending money to terrorists in the west bank.  This is intellectual dishonesty in relief. Slobodan Milosevic was small potatoes compared to Saddam Hussein. Yet for some reason the left had no problem with Clinton having the military bomb civilians in Serbia. No cries of "He lied" when it turned out the reason for this bombing was highly suspect.

But wait, it gets worse. You hear how people want the US to "internalize" Iraq? Well, Slobodan Milosevic (leader of Serbia) was put on trial in The Haig.  An international tribunal. The trial began in September of 2002. First off, that was years after he was actually taken into custody. The same people screaming for the US to hand over Iraq to "the people" have had no hurry for the US to pull out of Kosovo or Bosnia. Why is that? Intellectual dishonesty.  The same people who are in a hurry for Saddam to be handed over to the International Criminal Court for a speedy and "fair" trial have had no issue waiting years for Slobodan Milosevic to get to trial.  And worse, Slobodan Milosevic's trial has become such a farce that now, nearly 2 years later, the trial continues and resentment towards the international community in Serbia has grown to the point that Slobodan Milosevic won a seat in the Serbian Parliament 2 weeks ago! Where is the left's outcry? Intellectual dishonesty.  Can any American even fathom what the real-world negative outcome would be if the same thing happened with Saddam? The "international community" has helped rehabilitate Slobodan Milosevic's image to the point where he's popular again in Serbia. Is this what the left wants for Saddam? Where's the outcry there? Again: Intellectual dishonesty.

But boiling it down into a nutshell: I've yet to see anyone who opposes what is happening in Iraq put forward a reasonable argument as to how the Kosovo campaign was different. France and Germany both supported action in Kosovo. Opposed action in Iraq. Why? Why was that okay and Iraq wasn't? Saddam was doing everything Slobodan Milosevic was doing and much much worse. And most Americans considered Iraq a threat whereas few if any considered Slobodan Milosevic a threat.

These are the things that cause non-partisan Americans to be distrustful of the left on these issues. They see shrillness. They see intellectual dishonesty, and they see the not-so-veiled contempt that the elite on the left have for their intelligence. And they respond by supporting Bush, one of the more inept Presidents we've had in my opinion.

Which is really a shame because there are really important issues happening right now and the left has a lot of very principled positions on many of them. Howard Dean, btw, if you actually listen to one of his town-hall meetings, makes a lot of good principled arguments. It's too bad it's so rare to hear some of those same principled arguments on-line.

Weekend work report

Published on Sunday, January 25, 2004 By Brad Wardell In Work Reports
So I got WinCustomize magazine done. It took quite a bit of work. The work not only derives itself from the actual writing but the research for it. Two big things I do in the magazines is sift through all the...well crap that gets submitted and have to narrow things down to highlighting 30 or so skins and themes to show off. That means I have to skip over a lot of good stuff too which is a bummer but I have to focus on things that casual users will want, not just power users.

With >800,000 WinCustomize users now, a good chunk of them receive the magazine so I have to put a lot of care into making sure it's useful and relevant. I also can't have it be just a Stardock advertisement or else it becomes just more crap people spew through the email. That sometimes means highlighting programs that compete with Stardock's to varying degrees.

For instance, in this issue I highlight Rainlendar, Workshelf, and Samurize. This will probably be the single biggest marketing hit they've ever received. These are good programs but not likely ready for PC Magazine or anything yet. So hundreds of thousands of people seeing their stuff will be a big boon for them.

Those of you reading this may not realize how demonized Stardock is by the "hard core" of the skinning "community". They think we're just out to monopolize the whole customization thing which isn't the case. I wish these guys could think straight and see that it's US that helps promote the smaller players in the market more than anyone else out there.

If you want to see what I have done so far visit https://www.wincustomize.com/wcmag/jan2004 Just remember that it's not just what's in the magazine I had to write, the magazine regularly links to articles at Joeuser.com which I also had to put together.

So got that done. Took care of a lot of email, put together the plan for this next week. Read through the boards and news groups, tested out software. Got to have some fun though, went bowling today and yesterday played Warlords IV and my mom visited. So all in all a pretty good weekend.

Desktop Widgets: January 2004

Published on Sunday, January 25, 2004 By Brad Wardell In OS Customization

Here are some desktop objects and themes from January from WinCustomize.com that look particularly interesting.  You will need DesktopX in order to use these.

The week is over but my work week isn't.

Published on Friday, January 23, 2004 By Brad Wardell In Work Reports
Meetings eat up increasingly greater amounts of my time.

In a theoretical 8 hour day today, I spent 4 hours of them in meetings. That leaves 4 hours to do actual "work".

Widgets to do:
[X] IconPackager Media Guide finished/checked/printed
[X] Went over JoeUser.com and featured some articles
[X] GalCiv Beta testing
[X] GalCiv Beta went up (not really any work on my part, just had to press the trigger)
[X] DesktopX 2.1 testing
[X] GalCiv screenshots
[X] IconPackager PR.

Meetings:
[X] Finding a new building for Stardock
[X] Interview with magazine
[X] Interview with newspaper
[X] Corporate customer meeting
[X] Various internal mini-meetings

Unplanned stuff:
( ) Pain with Outlook continues. I don't care what others say, Outlook 2003 SUUUUCKKKSSS. Today I discovered that unlike Outlook Express, I cannot simply click on "To" and find groups in my Address book by email. I used to be able to go in Outlook Express and type say "Cnet.com" and all my friends at Cnet.com would show up. Not so in Outlook 2003 where it only goes by name. That ate up about 30 minutes manually migrating lists.

( ) Lots of email.

Which sadly leaves a couple of unfinished widgets that I have to take home. WinCustomize Magazine. Organize Object Desktop docs. (i.e. find out what's missing). I'll have to do the WCMag stuff sooner rather than later.

Making your own icons...

Published on Friday, January 23, 2004 By Brad Wardell In WinCustomize News

Ever wonder how icon authors such as Mormegil create their cool looking icons? They typically use programs like Corel Draw (in Mormegil's case) or Photoshop or Illustrator. Once they've created their icon they then use a program to turn them into icons.

One such program: IconDeveloper which has been designed specifically to make it really easy to turn images (or batches of them) into icons and take care of all the rescaling and colorizing and all that for the user.

This article at JoeUser walks users through how easy it is now to create icons.